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Sunday, 3 January 2010

Tournament Erosion - Betfair FA Cup Market

Trading "tournament erosion" is a fun way to make a bit of cash. This has already happened for anyone betting my advised bets in the last post - or any contending team left in the competition.

With Manchester Utd. out of the tournament, the price has collapsed on any team with half a chance. There is usually a shock at this stage of the competition so you want to be getting your bets on near the beginning.

The prices for our bets now are:

Spurs: 7/1 from 12/1
Fulham 20/1 from 40/1
Birmingham: 66/1 from 80/1 (80/1 still available - Tough draw at Everton).
Newcastle: 100/1

You could easily equalise for profit now but none of the teams have an insurmountable challenge in the next round:

Spurs (h) v Leeds, Fulham (a) v Accrington Stanley or Gillingham, Birmingham (a) v Evertion, Newacastle (a) v West Brom.

Birmingham and Newcastle still need to win replays against Nottigham Forest and Plymouth Argyle respectively.

Anyway, it may pay to hang in there until the ties have been played.

posted by Betting Exchange Trader

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