Super Bowl XLIV
The Super Bowl is nearly upon us. NFL Football is game I love and hate...hate because there is little flow to the game - it is basically just a series of set plays. Love, because you can get incredible comebacks and there is also parity in the league...pretty much.
My best success for the Super Bowl was backing the Patriots for a decent stake when I lived in the US. That year I got 50/1 - I think it was probably the first year of that mini-dynasty that they had when they won it three times in four years from memory.
I have rather lost touch with the game being back in the UK but I thought I would give my very brief thoughts for the last four stage.
Indianapolis Colts: Too short at around evens. Won't have them. They should have too much in their locker for the New York Jets - but I would take the very defensive Jets at 7/1 at this point and hope for a big upset.
New Orleans Saints: Much the better pick of the favourites at 2/1 but probably not value - good aerial game could see them past the Vikings.
Minnesota Vikings: The best thing about supporting this team is that you get to watch 40 year old quarter-back Brett Favre week in week out. Incredible really.
The problem with the Vikings is that they are on the road for this one (vs Saints) and their road stats are just terrible. BUT had the Viking been at home, they might well have been a shorter price than the Saints - since the reverse is true of the Vikings' home record.
I would take 9/2 + here if I could find it and hope that the Vikings sort out their away form or the Saints falter under the pressure at home.
New York Jets: A little one-dimensional to say the least but plenty of teams have won the Super Bowl on good defence. Will they win? probably not, but I would take them at 7/1+ with Minnesota and hope for at least one upset.
posted by Betting Exchange Trader
