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Friday, 1 January 2010

FA Cup Bets

I always have a few bets on the FA Cup every year. I generally pick between 2 and 4 teams. Historically I have kept away from backing any of the big four and of course in the last fifteen years or so one of the big four has won it every year bar one....the year before last when Portsmouth won it. Of course that was the one year that I decided to have two rather poor value bets on Liverpool and Chelsea to win it!

So you might do well to keep away from my selections - which are:

Fulham: I like what Roy Hodgson is doing at the club and they are a team that look as if they can play 'good cup football'. Currently around 40/1 on Betfair.

Tottenham: Love Harry Redknapp, not a great lover of Tottenham, but the team look 'capable' this season with a good squad. Whether they have the grit to get through the rounds remains to be seen. Probably my weakest bet of the four. Currently 12/1 on Betfair.

Birmingham: People are beginning to catch on to Birmingham's potential. The 100/1 + on Betfair has long gone but you can still get 80/1 with some bookmakers - the Betfair price is already in to 70's. I would have wanted 100/1 here but I will have a small bet at 80/1.

Newcastle: Not sure about this one. More of 'speculative saver'. But if they get to meet Premiership opposition you know they are going to have a point to prove. That in itself is not enough but they are playing with some spirit albeit in a lower league. Currently 125/1 + on Betfair. Might well lay this one back if they put together a sustained cup run.

Naturally none of these bets are likely to win - but that is the nature of backing at big odds. If you don't bet at big prices - you don't win at big prices. Remember Portsmouth would probably have been 66/1 - 100/1 at the start of the competition in 2007/8 season.

posted by Betting Exchange Trader

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