4th Test South Africa vs England
It all looks good for England this week and they have a chance to go home with a rare series win. You can never right off South Africa but there record in Johannesburg isn't over impressive in terms of winning games. In terms of motivation both teams will be up for it - England have the chance of an historic series win, South Africa face the humiliation of losing.
I am actually going to lay South Africa at around 6/4 on Betfair. Had the 7/4 still been available I might have backed them. I just don't think at present they have any greater chance than England who have bowled the better. As long as England can deal with the altitude they should go well.
There is also the chance of rain on the highveld and although it tends to come late in the day - you couldn't rule out the draw - or pressure decisions being made due to time lost.
South Africa's preparation has not been perfect , with the farce surrounding Imran Tahir.and de Wet struggling for full fitness,
and although they have been very close to wins twice in this series, the fact remains that they haven't managed one.
No doubt South Africa will play for the win, they have nothing to lose, so the conservatism that seems to have plagued the team will be shed in favour of attack, but that could just as easily favour England.
As an aside, England have followed up their previous two escapes with nine wickets down, by thrashing the opposition in Durban and prior to that at Lord's - and the reported 'bowlers pitch' at the Wanderers won't harm Swann's or Anderson's chances, the latter having taken four more wickets than any South African in the series.
As a result I would rather be on England at around 5/2 (3.7) than South Africa at 6/4. In my view the draw would probably be the worst bet in this match - the current price on Betfair is around 15/8 - but in laying SA we have it on our side.
South Africa price moving from 7/4 into 6/4.posted by Betting Exchange Trader
